Friday, October 28, 2016

GDP recovers a bit in the third quarter

According to the BEA, the advance estimate of GDP growth in the third quarter is 2.9%, which is a significant improvement on the second quarter (1.4%). So maybe there is no recession in the near future (Neil Irwin might be right about that), which does not mean Yellen should hike the Fed rate in December anyway.

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Are we on the verge of a debt crisis?

This was my presentation at the Political Economy Research Institute (PERI) last summer. I was supposed to revise it, but never found the ti...