Friday, February 19, 2016

Davidson on Temin and Vines

Paul Davidson debates Peter Temin and David Vines in this INET working paper. I had criticized Temin and Vines before here and here. Although in general I agree with Paul, in my view, there is a problem with Keynes’ Bancor Plan kind of solution, that is the one that puts an emphasis on the need for surplus countries to carry the burden of external adjustment. It is really, in the world we live with a hegemonic currency, the role of the issuer of the international reserve currency to carry the burden. In other words, pace Mr. Trump, it is the US that needs to provide global demand, not China.

PS: China is losing reserves, faster than any one expected. But it’s worth remembering that they do still have significant current account surpluses, and that China faces no external constraint.

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Exchange rates and income distribution in a surplus approach perspective

Old paper, presented two years ago in México, and to be published soon by the university press there. In Spanish. For those interested. The...